Stagflation fear sent stocks into a bear market in Q2, while bonds tanked as the Fed debated a full-point rate hike after June’s jarring 9.1% rise in US CPI. How might the fight against inflation unfold in the second half?
March marked ‘lift-off’ for the Fed, which commenced tightening, hiking rates a quarter-point. With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shocking energy markets and COVID shutting down Shanghai, is a soft landing at risk?
Red-hot inflation going into 2022 has pulled forward the Fed’s timetable for tightening, just as a surge in Omicron cases threatens to hit growth. How will markets react to rate hikes in the year ahead?
Shipping bottlenecks and strained supply chains contributed to a spike in prices during Q3. Will hawkish central bankers end the party for stock and bond investors, or might such fears turn out to be ‘transitory’, as well?
Vaccine rollouts and improving sentiment have prompted market rotation to start the year. With stretched stock valuations, turbulent bond markets, and flashes of inflation, how will reopening and recovery play out?
In 2020, a black swan disrupted the global economy, pushed macroeconomic policy to extremes, and spurred a growth rally that saw amateur investors handily beating the pros. How do markets sit as we enter a new year?
Markets have staged a remarkable recovery since their March lows. Now all eyes are on the global economy to catch up. With the virus under control and borders reopened last month, Europe should see economic activity pick up.
What will the post COVID-19 world look like? Pre-pandemic trends combined with large fiscal stimuli, increasing efficiency by working from home and many other factors will shape what changes lie ahead.
The US-China trade war, low interest rates, taxing US tech giants… Read all about it in our newly released quarterly commentary – including how the year-end snowy heights came straight at equity investors in a truly monster Santa Rally.
More than the weather is heating up. The EU’s threat to Swiss independence makes China’s view on Hong Kong look benign, while Iran’s militarized response to US pressure and the US-China Trade War are moving even Brexit off the front page. The US bull market is now at an all-time high.
The Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, was expected to be more pragmatic than his predecessors Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke. He was leading the way by delivering four rate hikes in his eleven-month tenure. Enter the December 2018 sell-off.