The Coming Stagflation

We are quick to criticize other countries’ regulatory and fiscal missteps, but it would be foolish to imagine the US Federal Reserve and our other institutions are not similarly capable of self-harm. It could be out of ignorance, hubris, or politics. Regardless, the coming stagflation is cause for concern in the US.

Read More

Why I’m Active in China

Beijing’s consumer tech crackdown last year led some global investors to hypothesize that China is punishing success. But the likely real reason is simpler: Beijing feels uncomfortable with the power a few firms harness through their unbridled access to personal data. Western regulators are grappling with similar concerns.

Read More

China Tech: Too Big to Succeed

Beijing’s consumer tech crackdown last year led some global investors to hypothesize that China is punishing success. But the likely real reason is simpler: Beijing feels uncomfortable with the power a few firms harness through their unbridled access to personal data. Western regulators are grappling with similar concerns.

Read More

Why I’m Not Afraid for Taiwan

This piece was originally penned to address concerns over how the invasion of Ukraine might exacerbate a potential conflict between China and Taiwan. For those asking my opinion, I predict China will deescalate with Taiwan in the coming years because it simply has too much to lose by invading—and too much to gain through patience.

Read More

The A-H Premium: Same Stock, Different Story

There are 136 firms that dual-list in the mainland China A-share market and the Hong Kong H-share market. Of these, 135 are more expensive in mainland China. This article explains why this price discrepancy exists and how investors can take advantage of it.

Read More

The Myth of the Chinese Real Estate Bubble

Contrary to many pundits’ predictions, Jason Hsu is confident that Beijing’s deleveraging efforts will avoid a housing crash in China. The much bigger issue, from both a social welfare and economic perspective, is housing affordability—a crisis he’s seen firsthand during his recent stay in China. This article explains more.

Read More

We Don’t Need No (For-Profit) Education. ESG, China-style.

The latest policy decree from Beijing is a likely death sentence for the for-profit education sector in China … but it may be a win for Chinese society. Global investors are sometimes uncomfortable with China’s interventionist approach to address social issues. But if they want to invest successfully in Chinese companies, they’d better understand it.

Read More